New Mexico Weather: 10/1/17

Yesterday was an exciting day.  I watched some isolated storms develop west of Albuquerque and remarked (on our way to a birthday party), “Wow, that one has a little bit of structure to it.”  Little did I know (as I had been looking north through this storm as it formed), that it dropped a tornado 25 miles from my house!!!!  The National Weather Service tweet shows an image of the tornado, and it showed up on the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) reports today:

It did make for a nice sunset, post-tornadic cell.  I also went for an evening walk soon after this photo was taken, and ended up getting hit by BB to pea sized hail.

This morning has been cool, foggy, still day.

National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F.  The winds will be from the south at 15-20 mph.  This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 54 F. Winds will be from south at 10-15 mph, decreasing to 5-10 mph after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15 mph. This evening will be clear, with a a low temperature of 50 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 78 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 52 F. Winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the potential for isolated storms over the Eastern Plains later today.  The primary threat from these storms will be large hail.

The visible satellite imagery shows that the clouds and fog are mixing out.  The skies over the western half of the state are clear.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is still moisture in the 400 mb to 700 mb layer.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows that the atmosphere is nearly saturated below 550 mb.   There was 0.83 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was 372 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -150 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a tiny thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 18 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 43 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes). Interestingly enough, the supercell parameter was 4.0.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions).  The winds are light, with no major frontal boundaries present.  Skies are beginning to clear from the west.

The surface pressure chart shows that we are under no strong pressure systems or gradients today.  The RAP shows that we are no strong gradients or systems are expected to develop over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light southwesterly to zonal flow as the trough passes to our north.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows that there will be rain possible over the center of the state again today.

Today is foggy in the morning, but will clear up by the afternoon.  We should have a few drier, more pleasant days early this week.  There will be some wind this afternoon, in the 15-20 mph range, but the temperatures will be warm.

Thank you for reading my post.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Follow Up, Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Radar Imagery, Satellite Imagery, Severe Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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