Yesterday, I was certainly wrong about Rio Rancho. We received 0.08 inches of rain in one heavy downpour at 17:45. I saw a double rainbow over Albuquerque, but couldn’t fit it into one frame.
This morning has been sunny, still and mild. There were but a few tiny clouds in the sky over Rio Rancho to the east, and more clouds to the west.
National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 88 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 67 F. Winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 58 F. Winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 90 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 63 F. Winds will be from the east at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.
The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the potential for a few heavy showers and thunderstorms over the high terrain. The biggest threat with these storms is the heavy rains and potential for flooding, due to slow steering wind speeds. Coverage will be lighter today than yesterday.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows only a few thin clouds, including some that are overhead and west of me.
The water vapor imagery shows that there has been some moisture return overnight.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows that the atmosphere has dried out compared to last week, with only moderately humid conditions below 550 mb. There was 0.78 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was 308 J/kg of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and -304 J/kg of Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.8 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 2 kt of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 14 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to directional changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures and high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear in most locations, and the winds are light. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows that we are under a slightly higher pressure, but with no strong pressure gradients The RAP shows that the pressure will remain slightly high, but no strong gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows little flow aloft.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection into the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that rain is possible for areas in the north of the Albuquerque Metro area.
I expect today will be pleasant in the Rio Grande River Valley. I am about to go for a run, and I may work in the garden later today. There is still plenty of moisture in the air, though it has decreased some from yesterday. I wouldn’t rule out an isolated shower (if yesterday was any indication of what can happen).
Thank you for reading my post.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD