Yesterday warmed up and cleared up, as expected. Yesterday evening was pleasant, with a few light clouds.
This morning has been cool, still and clear. There hasn’t been a cloud in the sky along my commute to Socorro, as shown by this photo of downtown Albuquerque:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-15 mph, becoming south in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 54 F. Winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F. Winds will be from the southwest at 10-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 54 F. Winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded form today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that there is still a light plume of moisture running through the central and northern parts of the state this morning, but that there is less moisture today than there has been in the past few days.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a humid boundary layer, but with dry air above 600 mb. There was 0.43 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 11 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 12 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show warm temperatures, and moderately high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions). The skies are clear and the winds calm, with quite a few areas of no wind at all. There are no major frontal boundaries clearly defined over the state this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure is building in the Four Corners area, but there are no strong pressure gradients over the state this morning. The RAP shows that no strong pressure gradients are expected over the next six hours, but the high pressure will remain.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows that there will be very little flow aloft as we continue into the ridge.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows that there is no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart is unavailable at this time.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows that the backdoor cold front entering the state through the northeastern corner will stall and weaken. Notice how there is strong thermal gradient, but the winds do not blow against it as strongly as they did yesterday.
The Precipitation chart shows precipitation is unlikely at this time. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today, we will continue to dry out in New Mexico. Enjoy the good weather!
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD