Long Range Forecasting: 5/2/17-5/9/17

It is time to look ahead at the long range forecast, as told by the GFS model.

The next week will be warmer, clearer and generally my pleasant than last week.  However, there is a chance of rain Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, as another trough and closed, upper-level low make their way east through our state.

The 300 mb GFS charts show a deep trough and closed, upper-level low just beginning to impact the area at the end of this time period (Tuesday 5/9).

The 850 mb GFS charts show that the temperature will be warm for the next week.  There is an orphaned pocket of cold air over the California coastline that is expected to warm up.  If this decides to move east, we may have a cold front on Tuesday of next week.  However, the GFS has it warming up and mixing with the surrounding air.

The Precipitation charts show that there is some chance of precipitation starting Saturday for the Rio Grande River Valley.  The heaviest rain may fall Sunday evening and into Monday morning, but there is a chance of rain through Tuesday evening (just in time for my next long term forecast).

New Mexico will be much warmer than last week (no snow in Rio Rancho!) though there is a chance of rain at the end of this weekend and into next week.

Thank you for reading my post.

GFS Model Data is from Unisys Weather

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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