Long Range Forecasting: 4/25/17-5/2/17

It is time to look ahead at the long range forecast, as told by the GFS model.

The next week will feature a chance of rain each day through Saturday.  It will be cooler, wetter and cloudier than it was last week.

The 300 mb GFS charts show a deep trough that will pass through New Mexico through the end of this week.  This trough will bring with it rain, cooler weather and clouds.  It should clear the area by Saturday night or Sunday morning.

The 850 mb GFS charts show that a back door cold front may try to punch into the northeastern corner of the state on Friday.  Notice the sharp thermal gradient in this image.  This frontal boundary will also serve as a source of lift for some thunderstorms on Friday.

The Precipitation charts show that there is some chance of precipitation almost every day.  Our highest chance of receiving rain in the Rio Grande River Valley will be on Friday.  After Saturday, the chances of rain diminish.

New Mexico will be much wetter and cooler this upcoming week, as compared to the past few weeks.

Thank you for reading my post.

GFS Model Data is from Unisys Weather


About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Models and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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