Long Range Forecasting: 4/18/17-4/25/17

It is time to look ahead at the long range forecast, as told by the GFS model.

The next week will be sunny, dry and warm, with the exception of a chance of some precipitation in the northeastern corner of the state Friday and Saturday.  Otherwise, expect pleasant, seasonal weather.

The 300 mb GFS charts show zonal flow, though a small shortwave trough will pass through the state Friday and Saturday.  For the most part, it will not generate foul weather for our state, but the winds may increase through this weekend.

The 500 mb GFS charts show some Positive Vorticity Advection (PVA) ahead of this shortwave trough.

The 850 mb GFS charts show that a back door cold front may try to punch into the northeastern corner of the state, though it stalls in the TX/OK Panhandles region.

The Precipitation charts show that there is some chance of precipitation as the back door cold front stalls and the shortwave trough passes through.  This threat will be limited to the northeastern corner of the state.

New Mexico will be dry, clear, and seasonably warm over the next week. Enjoy the nice weather!

Thank you for reading my post.

GFS Model Data is from Unisys Weather

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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