Yesterday was a windy day. It was unpleasant and cool, though the skies were clear. By the evening, the winds had decreased significantly, though it dipped below freezing at my house in Rio Rancho.
It has been a clear, cool and slightly breezy this morning. There are no clouds in the sky here in Albuquerque along my commute to Socorro and Magdalena.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast by the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. Winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 59 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 32 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west by midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 60 F. The winds will be light and variable, becoming west at 5-10 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 38 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming north by midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows that there are no thick clouds over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that the mid-latitude cyclone has moved northeast, and that zonal flow with limited moisture is over the state today.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.11 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was an elevated thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.1 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 9 kts of low-level shear (due mostly to speed changes) and 54 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes).
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions) and sunny skies dominate the map this morning. The winds are light and variable, and no major frontal boundaries are present over the state this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows that high pressure dominates the state this morning. There are no steep pressure gradients present. The RAP shows that high pressure will linger, and that no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over at least the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows nearly zonal flow as we enter a shallow ridge pattern by this afternoon.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart is not displaying properly.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that there is virtually no chance of rain across the state today. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
Today will be less windy and warmer than yesterday. In other words, the things that were wrong with yesterday will be right today. Even the threat of wildfire has been reduced. Enjoy the nice weather!
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD