Yesterday was warm and still all day. It was another beautiful day in New Mexico.
This morning has been cool, still and mostly clear. There were a few high clouds over downtown Albuquerque this morning:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 83 F. The winds will be from the south at 20-25 mph, gusting as high as 35 mph. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 50 F. Winds will be from the south at 20-25 mph, gusting as high as 35 mph, but then decreasing after midnight to 10-15 mph.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-15 mph, increasing to 15-25 mph in the afternoon. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 45 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 15-25 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph after midnight.
The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming south at 15-20 mph in the afternoon, gusting as high as 30 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F. The winds will be from the south at 20-25 mph, decreasing to 10-15 mph in the late evening.
The NWS has issued a Red Flag Warning, a Special Weather Statement and a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning the high winds and low humidity this afternoon. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) also shows the Fire Weather risk. Most of the state is under at least Elevated Risk, with a wide swath of Critical Risk through the middle of the state.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state so far this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that there is dry air over the state today. This hurts us today and tomorrow, as the risk of fire will be elevated, given the low humidity and the strong winds.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a moderately dry atmosphere, with the moisture well mixed at all levels. There was 0.29 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.4 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 16 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 48 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, clear skies, and no major boundaries over most of the state this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state so far this morning. The RAP shows a slight pressure gradient developing, and the winds are expected to increase over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows southwesterly flow over the state today as the trough approaches.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows rapidly-sinking air over the center of the state today. This is an indication of the strong winds that will characterize today’s weather.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Well, I hope you guys enjoyed the good weather, as it is about over for a few days. Today will be quite breezy, and the temperature is expected to drop tomorrow to seasonal levels.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD