New Mexico Weather: 3/20/17

Yesterday was warm, mostly sunny and still all day.  I did not go for a run, unfortunately, but I still managed over 20,000 steps, mostly from working in the garden.

This morning has been cool, still and clear.  There were no clouds at sunrise along my train ride through Albuquerque:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 47 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west in the afternoon.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 81 F. The winds will be light and variable, and then from the southwest at 5-10 mph this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, with a low temperature of 50 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is dry air over the state today.  However, if you look to the west, there is an approaching cold front that extends through southern California.  This front will impact the state later this week.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with a slight moisture peak at 550 mb.  There was 0.27 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.3 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 28 kts of deep-layer shear (due to mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, clear skies, and no major boundaries over most of the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows slightly higher pressure dominates today, with high pressure centered near the Four Corners area. There are no strong pressure gradients so far this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows a pocket of rapidly-rising air just west of the Albuquerque Metro area.  With the limited moisture, convection will not result in precipitation, but it may cause cloudy skies this evening.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  There will be some clouds this evening, as shown by the rising air at 700 mb.  There will also be a cold front later this week, and I will say more about that as it approaches.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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