New Mexico Weather: 3/19/17

Yesterday was warm, mostly sunny and still all day.  It was a really nice day!  There was some virga to our west, but the winds never became gusty in Rio Rancho.

This morning has been mild, still and sunny.  There is a little bit of haze on the horizon here in Rio Rancho:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 85 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southwest in the evening.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook and Red Flag Warnings concerning the windy and dry conditions, particularly over the eastern part of the state.  The NWS Watches and Warnings Graphic is shown below:

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has also issued a Critical Fire Weather risk area for the northeastern part of the state, as shown below:

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state so far this morning.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that is only light moisture over the state today.  Most of the moisture is to our north, and New Mexico is relatively dry this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere with a slight moisture peak at 550 mb.  There was 0.27 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.8 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 21 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, clear skies, and no major boundaries over most of the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows slightly higher pressure dominates today, with a 1028 mb high pressure system near the Four Corners area. There are no strong pressure gradients so far this morning.  The RAP shows that the pressure will decrease with diurnal heating, but no strong gradients are expected over the next six hours.  The wind is expected to increase over the eastern part of the state, however.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows almost no flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  I will go for a run and do some work in the garden later today.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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