New Mexico Weather: 3/17/17

Yesterday was warm, sunny and still all day.  It was a really nice day!

This morning has been cool, still and clear.  There were a few light clouds over Los Lunas this morning:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 81 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph, becoming south in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 73 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 80 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming south.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming northeast after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows very few clouds.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is some moisture, particularly in the northern part of the state.  There is a thin band of drier air running through the southeastern corner.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning, especially under 300 mb.  There was more moisture overall, as compared to yesterday, however.  There was 0.24 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.4 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 18 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 16 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, and clear skies over most of the state this morning.  There are no major boundaries present over the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state so far this morning. The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows almost no flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows one pocket of rapidly-rising air to the northwest of the Albuquerque Metro area.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  Make the most of it!

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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