New Mexico Weather: 3/16/17

Yesterday was warm, sunny and still all day.  I left my jacket at school, but I didn’t really need it this morning, either.

This morning has been cool, still and mostly clear.  There were a few light clouds over Albuquerque this morning:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 84 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 48 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 76 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 46 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph, becoming north at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows a few clouds, particularly over the northeastern corner of the state.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is a moisture axis running through the state from north to south, and that the dry air has moved east to Texas.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning, particularly at the mid-levels.  There was more moisture overall, as compared to yesterday, however.  There was 0.22 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 12 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 24 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, and clear skies over most of the state this morning.  There are no major boundaries present over the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows some slightly higher pressure near the northwestern corner of the state (Four Corners area), but there are no strong pressure gradients over the state today.  The RAP shows that no strong pressure systems or gradients are expected to form over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  Make the most of it!

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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