New Mexico Weather: 3/15/17

Yesterday was warm, sunny and still all day yesterday.  I had intended to do some reading outside, but ended up taking a nap (against my will) instead.

This morning has been cool, still and clear.  There are no clouds anywhere, including over the courtyard in Magdalena:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 75 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 82 F. The winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming west this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 45 F.  The winds will be from the west at 5 mph, becoming north  after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that all of these clouds are thin, with low, warm tops.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows dry air over the entire state so far this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.12 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.0 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 18 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 21 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, and clear skies over most of the state this morning.  There are no major boundaries present over the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows some slightly higher pressure near the northwestern corner of the state (Four Corners area), creating a moderate pressure gradient across the northern border.  However, the RAP shows that this gradient is expected to decrease over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows a small pocket of rapidly-rising air just west of the Albuquerque Metro area.  With little moisture, this pocket may produce a few clouds, but no precipitation is expected.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  Make the most of it!

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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