New Mexico Weather: 3/13/17

Yesterday was warm, sunny and breezy by the afternoon.  I spent a few hours working outside though, so it was nice to get out in the sunshine.

This morning has been cool, still and mostly clear.  There were very few clouds at sunrise this morning:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 77 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 43 F.  The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Magdalena) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 69 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 40 F.  The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph, becoming west after midnight.

The NWS in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 74 F. The winds will be from the southeast at 5-10 mph, becoming west at 10-15 mph this afternoon.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 42 F.  The winds will be from the west at 10-15 mph, becoming northeast at 5-10 mph after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The infrared satellite imagery shows that all of these clouds are thin, with low, warm tops.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is nearly uniform moisture over the state this morning.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning.  There was 0.22 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a slight thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.2 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 26 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 45 kts of deep-layer shear (due to a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show mild temperatures, moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, and clear skies over most of the state this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state so far this morning.  The RAP shows that none are expected to develop over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows northwesterly flow as a new trough pushes southward, becoming part of the winter storm on the east coast.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no major pockets of rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Today is shaping up to be pleasant day.  I will make it a point to go outside today and do some reading.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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