Yesterday was warm, sunny and still. It was an absolutely beautiful day, and I did not spend nearly enough time outside.
This morning has been cool, still and mostly sunny. There are a few high clouds this morning over Rio Rancho:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 72 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast this afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 37 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, shifting to the northwest after midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that a broad, shallow plume of moisture that curves through the center of the state today from southwest to northeast.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere. There was 0.16 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning. There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.1 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 18 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 51 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over the state this morning. There are no major frontal boundaries present over the state at this time.
The surface pressure chart shows that strong, high pressure is building over the Four Corners area, leaving a weak pressure gradient across parts of the state. The RAP shows that diurnal heating will weaken the pressure gradient and the high pressure air mass.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light zonal flow over the state today.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today is shaping up to be another pleasant day. Enjoy it!
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD