Yesterday was mild, mostly sunny and quite windy. My commute to Magdalena was tough as I was fighting the wind the whole time.
This morning has been cool, still and clear. There were no clouds in the sky this morning over Socorro:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 64 F. The winds will be from the north at 10-15 mph, becoming northeast at 5-10 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 33 F. The winds will be from the south at 5 mph, shifting to the north after midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that there is some light moisture return behind the trough, but not even enough to support cloud cover today.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere. There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.3 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 20 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 50 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), breezy winds, and clear skies over the state this morning. There are no major frontal boundaries present over the state at this time. Notice the -1 F dewpoint in Socorro. It is a dry day!!
The surface pressure chart shows that strong, 1030 mb high pressure is building over the Four Corners area, leaving a moderate pressure gradient across parts of the state. The wind speeds do not correlate with this pressure gradient at this time. The RAP shows that diurnal heating will weaken the pressure gradient, but the winds will pick up a bit over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows moderate zonal flow as the trough attenuates and moves northeast.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows there is very little chance of precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today is going to be the start to a series of pleasant days. This weekend, I will probably do some work in my garden, as I think the weather will be great.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD