Yesterday was cool, partly sunny and quite windy.
This morning has been cold, still and clear. Here is a photo of a ton of power lines near Isleta; you can see the clear skies:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 56 F. The winds will be from the north at 10 mph. This evening will be clear, with a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the north at 5-10 mph. No severe weather is expected, statewide.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows that dry air has moved into the area. You can see some moisture dammed against the central mountain chain, as it is much more humid on the west side of the mountains than on the east.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere this morning. Overall, there was 0.16 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 5.3 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 15 kts of low-level shear (mostly due to directional changes) and 75 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), still winds, and clear skies over the state this morning. There are no major frontal boundaries present over the state at this time.
The surface pressure chart shows that there are no strong pressure systems or gradients present over the state this morning. The RAP shows that none are expected to develop in the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light, slightly northwesterly flow as the trough merges in phase with another jet over the Mississippi River valley.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
For the Rio Grande River Valley, March is entering like a lamb after all. We are about to start a few days of beautiful weather.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD