Yesterday was sunny, mild and a bit breezy. Overall, it was a beautiful day.
This morning has been cool, still and clear. Here is the scene from Workman Hall on the New Mexico Tech campus in Socorro:
In Rio Rancho, my backyard weather station says the temperature is 41 F, the relative humidity is 71% (dewpoint 32 F), the relative pressure is 1027.8 mb and steady, and the winds are 9 mph, gusting to 14 mph, from the south.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 70 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming west by the afternoon. This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming north after midnight. The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning gusty winds and potential fire weather later this week.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows slightly damper air moving in from the west. There are no major moisture features over the state at this time.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows that the is moisture well-mixed in the column, with no particularly damp layers. Overall, there was 0.34 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no of Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was no thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 18 kts of low-level shear mostly due to directional changes) and 36 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly due to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries present over the state at this time.
The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over the Colorado border, yielding a moderate pressure gradient over the northern part of the state this morning. The RAP shows that the high pressure will weaken with diurnal heating over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows zonal flow over the state by this evening, as the trough continues east.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no strong thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows that little to no precipitation is expected today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The weather was pleasant yesterday, and I am expecting it to be pleasant again today. Today will be warmer than yesterday, and with a less wind. Enjoy the good weather!
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD