Yesterday was a pleasant day. In Socorro, it was warm and mostly sunny. It was still and precipitation-free all day.
Currently, it is mostly clear, still and cool along my commute from Socorro to Albuquerque this morning. Here is a photo from the Isleta Train Station, showing the clear skies this morning:
In Rio Rancho, my backyard weather station says the temperature is 37 F, the relative humidity is 68% (dewpoint 27 F), the relative pressure is 1023.0 mb and steady, and the winds are 1 mph from the west-southwest.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 79 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 43 F. The winds will be from the southwest at 5-10 mph, becoming calm after midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that there are few clouds over the state, and none of them are very thick. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows dry air over most of the state this morning. However, if you look to our west, the next trough will bring ample Pacific moisture.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows well-mixed moisture through most of the atmosphere this morning. Overall, there was 0.41 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a moderate thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.4 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 16 kts of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 36 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, moderate humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over the Four Corners area. There are no strong pressure gradients over the state this morning. The RAP shows that the pressure systems will move towards equilibrium, and no strong pressure gradients are expected to develop over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows light, zonal flow over the state today as we enter a very weak ridge.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today will be mild and sunny. If you have a chance, enjoy the weather over the next few days, because changes are in the air for next week, unfortunately.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD