Yesterday was a pleasant day. In Socorro, it was warm and mostly sunny. It was breezy and precipitation-free all day.
Currently, it is mostly clear, breezy and cool in Socorro. Here is a photo from the Alvarado Transportation Center in Albuquerque this morning, showing the mostly clear skies, with a few clouds over the mountain tops. It might be a good day for finding lenticular clouds.
In Rio Rancho, my backyard weather station says the temperature is 33 F, the relative humidity is 80% (dewpoint 36 F), the relative pressure is 1021.7 mb and steady, and the winds are 8 mph from the southwest.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-15 mph, becoming northeast in the afternoon. This evening will become partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 37 F. The winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph, becoming north in the evening. The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for strong and gusty northwest winds, particularly along the east side of the central mountain chain and into the eastern plains, though the winds will lessen throughout the day. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that the clouds from the mountain tops are not very thick, and have low, warm tops. The only clouds are east of the central mountain chain this morning.
The water vapor imagery shows dry air over the Rio Grande River Valley. All of the moisture is east of the central mountain chain and east into Texas along the trough.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a relatively damp atmosphere this morning near the surface. The relative humidity is low above the boundary layer. Overall, there was 0.39 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.1 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 27 kts of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 73 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and mostly clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows a lee-side low developing east of the central mountain chain, as well as high pressure over the Four Corners area. There is a steep pressure gradient across the northern part of the state. The RAP shows that the pressure systems will move towards equilibrium, reducing the pressure gradient over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows northwesterly flow aloft. There is a trough over the eastern half of the United States, which was why there was severe weather in the south yesterday.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today will be breezy, warm, and mostly sunny. If you have a chance, enjoy the weather over the next few days, because changes are in the air for next week, unfortunately.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD