Yesterday was a pleasant day. Here in Socorro, it was warm, partly cloudy day that faded into a clear afternoon. It was breezy and precipitation-free all day.
Currently, it is mostly clear, breezy and cool in Socorro. Here is a photo from Workman Hall on the New Mexico Tech campus in Socorro:
In Rio Rancho, my backyard weather station says the temperature is 30 F, the relative humidity is 85% (dewpoint 26 F), the relative pressure is 1017.3 mb and steady, and the winds are 1 mph from the east-northeast.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 66 F. The winds will be from the west at 5-15 mph. This evening will become partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 37 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 10-15 mph. The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for strong and gusty northwest winds, particularly along the east side of the central mountain chain and into the eastern plains. The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is shown below:
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that the clouds from the mountain tops are not very thick, and have low, warm tops. The only clouds are east of the central mountain chain this morning.
The water vapor imagery shows dry air over the Rio Grande River Valley. All of the moisture is east of the central mountain chain.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a relatively damp atmosphere this morning. Overall, there was 0.39 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a small thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.9 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 14 kts of low-level shear (due mostly to directional changes) and 62 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to speed changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, high humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and mostly clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows that the pressure is lower than yesterday, and there is a strong pressure gradient across the northern part of the state. The RAP is showing that the pressure gradient will weaken slightly over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows northwesterly flow aloft. There is mostly zonal flow over the country as a whole, but the jetstream is full of small disturbances that cause it to dip southward in several places.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) over the northern part of the state as winds blow across a moderate thermal gradient from cold to warm, due to the small upper-level disturbance.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Today will be breezy, warm, and mostly sunny. If you have a chance, enjoy the weather over the next few days, because changes are in the air for next week, unfortunately.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD