New Mexico Weather: 2/2/17

Yesterday was a pleasant day.  It was mild, sunny, still and precipitation-free all day.  There were some light clouds by yesterday evening.

Currently, it is clear, slightly breezy and cold.  The backyard weather station (in Rio Rancho) says that the temperature is 32.2 F, the relative humidity is 52%, the relative pressure is 30.17 in Hg and steady, and the winds are 2.2 mph from the southwest.Here is a photo of the sunrise near the Albuquerque Sunport, showing mostly cloudy skies:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a partly sunny day, with a high temperature of 65 F. The winds will be from northwest at 5-10 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon.  This evening will be mostly cloudy, and a low temperature of 32 F.  The winds will be from the southwest at 5 mph, becoming north after midnight.

The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.

The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows a few thick clouds over the northwestern corner of the state.  There are light clouds over most places today.

The water vapor imagery shows southwesterly flow over the state today, bringing some moisture from the Pacific to our area.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout.  Overall, there was 0.10 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a large thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 3.2 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 19 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 58 kts of deep-layer shear (due mostly to directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state.   There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over the Four Corners area and a moderate pressure gradient through the eastern part of the state.  The RAP shows that the pressure will equalize through the next six hours, leaving most of the state under 1018 mb relative pressure.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows moderate zonal flow aloft.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.   This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows some weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) entering the northeastern corner of the state as a weak back door cold front.  This back door cold front will be halted by midday, and will not travel very far into New Mexico.

The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The next few days will continue to be cool to mild, still, and precipitation free.  Today and tonight we will see a few clouds as moisture advects into our area, but no convection or precipitation is expected.   It looks like we are in for several nice days, and perhaps a pleasant weekend.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
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