Yesterday was a pleasant day. It was mild, sunny, still and cloud-free all day.
Currently, it is clear, slightly breezy and cold. There are a few thin cirrus clouds and haze from wood smoke. Here is a photo from the New Mexico Railrunner as it travels south through Albuquerque:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 67 F. The winds will be from north at 5-10 mph, becoming east in the afternoon. This evening will be clear, and a low temperature of 31 F. The winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows zonal to southwesterly moisture flow over the state this morning. Even though the jet is to our north, there is a band of moisture from the Pacific Ocean moving through our state to the northeast.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout. Overall, there was 0.21 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a small thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.2 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 28 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 25 kts of deep-layer shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows high pressure over the Four Corners area and slightly lower pressure over the southeastern corner of the state, leaving a moderate pressure gradient through the middle. The RAP shows that the pressure will equalize through the next six hours, leaving most of the state under 1012 mb relative pressure.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak flow aloft as the entire country falls under a more zonal pattern.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows some weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) entering the northeastern corner of the state as a weak back door cold front.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The next few days will continue to be cool to mild, clear, and precipitation free. It looks like we are in for several nice days, and perhaps a pleasant weekend.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD