Yesterday was a pleasant day. I did quite a bit of walking around campus, and a light jacket was more than enough to stay warm.
Currently, it is clear, slightly breezy and cold. Here is a photo from Workman Hall on the New Mexico Tech campus:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 61 F. The winds will be from north at 5-10 mph. This evening will be clear, and a low temperature of 30 F. The winds will be from the northwest at 5-10 mph.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. This image has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor imagery shows zonal to southwesterly moisture flow over the state this morning. There is some moisture being pulled through the state from the Pacific Ocean towards the Great Plains this morning.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout. Overall, there was 0.22 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a small thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 2.2 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 16 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 21 kts of deep-layer shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows high pressure dominating the state again this morning, though the high pressure is weaker than it has been for several days. There is a moderate pressure gradient over the Colorado and New Mexico border. The RAP shows high pressure will continue throughout at least the next six hours, though the gradient will decrease.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak northwesterly flow. We are in an area west of phased jetstreams, but not near where they merge, which is why we have weak flow aloft.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The next few days will continue to be cool to mild, clear, and precipitation free.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD