Yesterday was a pleasant day. I got some yard work done, and did some general cleaning in my unheated shed.
Currently, it is clear, still and cool. The backyard weather station says the temperature is 27.9 F, the relative humidity is 59%, the relative pressure is 30.29 in Hg and steady, and the winds are 1.6 mph from the southwest. There are no clouds in the sky. You can see the cloudless morning in this photo from the South Valley on my commute to Socorro:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 55 F. The winds will be from north at 5 mph, becoming southeast in the afternoon. This evening will be clear, and a low temperature of 27 F. The winds will be from the east at 5 mph, becoming northwest after midnight.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning. All clouds have low, warm tops.
The water vapor imagery shows zonal moisture flow over the state this morning. The trough has attenuated, and the dry pocket has moved east. We do have a little more moisture than yesterday.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout. Overall, there was 0.21 inches of precipitable water present in the column. There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present. There was a small thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.8 C/km.
The hodograph shows that there was 7 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 27 kts of deep-layer shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows high pressure dominating the state again this morning. There is a moderate pressure gradient over the Colorado and New Mexico border. The RAP shows high pressure will continue throughout at least the next six hours, though the gradient will decrease.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak northerly flow. Notice that the trough actually dips through New Mexico, but the stronger flow matches the jetstreak to our south.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The next few days will continue to be cold, clear, and precipitation free.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD