New Mexico Weather: 1/29/17

Yesterday was cold, slightly breezy and mostly sunny in Albuquerque.  It was breezy off and on all day, but we were able to go for a hike near the river.

Currently, it is sunny, slightly breezy and cool.  The backyard weather station says the temperature is 50.0 F, the relative humidity is 28%, the relative pressure is 30.43 in Hg and steady, and the winds are 2.2 mph from the southeast.  There are no clouds in the sky.  Here is a photo from my back door:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 47 F, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, and a low temperature of 27 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few light clouds over the western part of the state this morning.

The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  All clouds have low, warm tops.

The water vapor imagery shows zonal moisture flow over the state this morning.  The trough has broadened an the jetstream appears to be to our south.  Notice the extremely dry air just off the coast of Southern California.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout.  Overall, there was 0.11 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a small thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 13 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 20 kts of deep-layer shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and clear skies over most of the state.   There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure dominating the state again this morning.  There is a moderate pressure gradient over Colorado, but only a slight gradient over New Mexico this morning.  The RAP shows high pressure will continue throughout at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak northerly flow.  Notice that the trough actually dips through New Mexico, but the stronger flow matches the jetstreak to our south.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.   This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The next few days will continue to be cold, clear, and precipitation free.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD


About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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