New Mexico Weather: 1/28/17

Yesterday was cold, slightly breezy and mostly sunny in Albuquerque.  The wind picked up speed in the evening around Rio Rancho, however.

Currently, it is sunny, still and cold.  Here is a photo from my back door:

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Rio Rancho) a sunny day, with a high temperature of 40 F, and northwest winds of 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, and a low temperature of 20 F.  The winds will be from the northwest at 5 mph.

The visible satellite imagery shows a few patches of cumulus clouds over the state this morning.

The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state this morning.  All clouds have low, warm tops.

The water vapor imagery shows zonal moisture flow over the state this morning.  The trough has broadened an the jetstream appears to be to our south.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a dry atmosphere again this morning, with high dewpoint depressions throughout.  Overall, there was 0.11 inches of precipitable water present in the column.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present.  There was a small thermal inversion, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 4.1 C/km.

The hodograph shows that there was 10 kts of low-level shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) and 35 kts of deep-layer shear (a mix of speed and directional changes) this morning.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and mostly clear skies over most of the state.   There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows high pressure dominating the state this morning.  There is a moderate pressure gradient this morning, as a 1046 mb high pressure system moves through Colorado.  The RAP shows high pressure and moderate pressure gradients over the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows northerly flow.  Notice that the trough actually dips through New Mexico, but the stronger flow matches the jetstreak to our south.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.   This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows no significant precipitation over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The next few days will be cold, clear, and precipitation free.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from College of DuPage – SATRAD

Advertisements

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Photography, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s