Yesterday was mild, still and mostly sunny. I even walked around campus without a jacket of any sort, for the first time in a long time.
Currently, it is sunny, cold and still. There are a few clouds to the west, and a few scattered here and there, but almost none overhead. Here is a photo at skies just before sunrise over Albuquerque:
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts (for Socorro) a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 62 F. The winds will be from the south at 10-15 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 37 F, and winds will be from the south at 5-10 mph, becoming north after midnight. The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning winter weather through this weekend, but no severe weather is expected today.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows that some thicker clouds are moving in from the northwest through the Four Corners area.
The water vapor satellite imagery shows several bands of moisture that represent the bands of clouds. Overall, there is ample moisture over the state this morning.
The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque (and most of the country) is unavailable at this time.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures, low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and mostly clear skies. There are no major frontal boundaries over the state so far this morning.
The surface pressure chart shows no strong pressure systems or gradients over the state so far this morning. The RAP shows that none are expected over the next six hours.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows southwesterly flow over the state today as a new trough approaches the state from the west.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows some Cold Air Advection into the northeastern corner of the state, as the winds blow across a very steep thermal gradient.
The Precipitation chart shows no precipitation over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Socorro will be mostly sunny and precipitation-free today. Enjoy it, as I think we are in for a rainy, cloudy, nasty weekend.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC