New Mexico Weather: 1/8/17

Yesterday was cold, still and partly cloudy by the afternoon.  It was not as cold as it has been over the last few days, so I was able to take a walk in the afternoon.

Currently, it is sunny, cold and still.  There is still snow left outside, but it is almost all gone.  This view from my back door shows a few light L1 cumulus clouds in the sky.

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts a mostly sunny day, with a high temperature of 49 F.  The winds will be from the southeast at 5 mph, and then from the east this afternoon.  This evening will be partly cloudy, with a low temperature of 32 F, and winds will be from the north at 5 mph, becoming south after midnight.  The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook concerning gusty winds over the Sange de Cristos this afternoon.  Blowing snow will reduce visibility.  The NWS Watches and Warnings graphic is posted below:

The visible satellite imagery shows mostly snow over the state this morning.  You can see the impact of the winter storm, and can see that some of the snow has melted since yesterday.

The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state today.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor satellite imagery shows that there is uniform moisture over the state today.

The 12Z sounding from Albuquerque shows a nearly-saturated layer at around 700 mb.  There was 0.41 inches of precipitable water present in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH).  There was a large, deep thermal inversion near the surface, and the 0-3 km average lapse rate was 1.2 C/km.

The hodograph shows 19 kts of low-level shear (mostly directional changes) and 40 kts of deep-layer shear (mostly speed changes).

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cold temperatures, relatively low humidity (based on the surface dewpoint depressions), light winds, and mostly clear skies.   There are no major frontal boundaries present on this chart so far this morning.

The surface pressure chart shows us under the influence of high pressure this morning.  There is a strong pressure gradient in the north-central part of the state, which is the source of the gusty winds in this region.  The RAP shows that this gradient will remain for at least the next six hours.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows weak zonal flow across the state.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no major vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly-rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows no significant thermal advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The Precipitation chart shows a possibility of snowfall over the very north-central part of the state, in the mountains.  The rest of the state is expected to remain precipitation-free.

Rio Rancho will remain cool and clear today, with some clouds forming this evening.  Today will be precipitation-free.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Satellite Imagery, Winter Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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