New Mexico Weather: 11/8/16

Yesterday was mostly sunny and clear.  The temperature remained mild, and the winds light.

This morning has been cool, still and clear.  There is some haze and smog on the horizon, but no clouds in the sky.

The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts a sunny day today, with a high temperature of 65 F.  The winds will be from the northeast at 5-10 mph.  This evening will be mostly clear, with a low temperature of 41 F.  Winds will be from the northeast at 5 mph.

The visible satellite imagery and the the enhanced infrared satellite imagery show no clouds over the state this morning.  These images have been excluded from today’s post.

The water vapor imagery shows that there is still some moisture in the 700 mb to 400 mb band.

The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque shows that the atmosphere continued to dry out.  There was 0.36 inches of precipitable water in the column this morning.  There was no Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) and no Convective Inhibition (CINH) present this morning.  There was no significant thermal inversion near the surface.  The 0-3 km average lapse rate was 6.7 C/km.

There sounding only contains a few wind measurements today, for some reason.  We’ve been having this problem as of late.  This image has been excluded from today’s post.

The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show cool temperatures, light winds, and clear skies over much of the state today.  The humidity is high, statewide, as noted by the low surface dewpoint depressions.  There are no major frontal boundaries over the state today.

The surface pressure map shows that high pressure has developed over the Colorado Rocky Mountains.  There is a slight pressure gradient through New Mexico, but it is not strong enough to drastically increase the wind speeds.  This gradient will fade over the next six hours, according to the RAP.

Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows some northeasterly flow as the jetstream winds increase around the weakening low.  The winds meander in an extremely deformed pattern.  We’ll remain on the western edge of this trough, leaving us with clear weather.

The 500 mb NAM chart shows no strong vorticity advection over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 700 mb NAM chart shows no rapidly rising air over the state today.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

The 850 mb NAM chart shows the beginning of some Cold Air Advection (CAA) pushes in from the northeast.

The Precipitation chart shows that there is little chance of precipitation today, statewide.  This chart has been excluded from today’s post.

Overall, today will be a cool, mostly clear day today.  There are Freeze Warnings in place for the Texas Panhandle, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see those extended into the northeastern counties of New Mexico this evening.

Thank you for reading my forecast.

The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC

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About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Local WX, Practicing Concepts, Predictions, Radar Imagery, Satellite Imagery, Severe Weather and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

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