Long Range Forecast: 7/24/16 to 7/31/16

It’s time to look ahead at the long range forecast, as told by the GFS model.

The 300 mb GFS charts show no changes for New Mexico throughout this period. We remain under weak, zonal flow over the next seven days, with no break in the pattern.

The 500 mb GFS charts show little change in vorticity advection as well, as might be expected with no change at the 300 mb level.

The 700 mb GFS charts show several active days of rapidly-rising air. The two strongest days are Wednesday:

and Saturday:

The 850 mb GFS charts show only weak Cold Air Advection (CAA) affecting the state over the next week. The strongest CAA occurs tomorrow, with strong 850 mb winds blowing across the thermal gradient.

The GFS precipitation charts show that Monday and Tuesday will have the most widespread precipitation.

Thank you for reading my post.

GFS Model Data is from Unisys Weather

Advertisements

About highplainschasing

This blog is about my tales in storm chasing. My name is Seth Price and I am an instrumentation instructor at New Mexico Tech. My amateur radio call sign is N3MRA.
This entry was posted in Models, Practicing Concepts, Predictions and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s