In Rio Rancho this morning, the weather is cool and still.
The National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque forecasts a mostly sunny day today, with a high temperature of 70 F and northwest winds of 5 to 10 mph. This evening will be partly cloudy with a low temperature of 45 F and west winds of 5 to 10 mph. The NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for patchy fog this morning, and severe storms on Friday and into Saturday. Skywarn Spotter activation may be required later this week.
The visible satellite imagery is unavailable at this time.
The enhanced infrared satellite imagery shows no thick clouds over the state today. It has been excluded from today’s post.
The water vapor satellite imagery shows uniform moisture over the state this morning.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Albuquerque is unavailable at this time.
The surface observations (from the SPC Mesoscale Analysis Map) show the still winds and humid surface layer, with surface dewpoints approaching surface temperatures is most areas.
The surface pressure map shows no strong pressure gradients and none developing over the next six hours, according to the RAP.
Synoptically speaking, the 300 mb NAM chart (from Unisys) shows that we have nearly-zonal flow over the state today. To our northwest, another trough is developing, and this is the primary focus for severe weather later this week.
The 500 mb NAM chart shows no significant vorticity advection over the state today. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
The 700 mb NAM chart shows one pocket of rising air in the northeastern part of the state. This is where some of our afternoon and evening clouds will originate.
The 850 mb NAM chart shows that the Cold Air Advection (CAA) has weakened and will dissipate entirely throughout the day. This chart has been excluded from today’s post.
Overall, I expect a pleasant day today. After having several days with rain or the threat of rain, it will be nice to have dry, still conditions for a day. I am intently watching storms for this weekend. I don’t think I can chase, but I’m watching them anyhow.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC