This morning is cloudier than it was yesterday. I will verify with the sounding, but I bet we received the mid-level moisture, and it is in the form of light clouds. The day is not quite as warm as yesterday, due to the increased cloud cover.
The visible satellite imagery shows cloud streets across the southeastern part of the state, as well as a belt of thicker clouds from west Texas, towards the southern Panhandle, and then across northern Texas. In Austin, we are seeing the edge of the cloud streets.
The infrared satellite imagery shows that the clouds are not very thick across the middle of the state. Clouds are thin, and low/cool-topped.
The water vapor satellite imagery shows that we are still in the same plume of moisture as yesterday. There are a few convective storms much farther north, but so far, none are affecting Texas.
The 12Z upper air sounding from Fort Worth, TX, shows the increased moisture in the mid-levels. Compare yesterday’s sounding with today’s, and you will see that the dewpoints are much higher today above 750 mb. Also, the precipitable water jumped to 1.71 inches.
I am not going to do a full prediction today. However, the increased cloud cover will reduce the temperatures slightly from yesterday, though I would not be surprised to see the humidity rise.
I will be on the road tonight, and will perhaps return to regular forecasts over the next week.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC