Last night was beautiful on our drive from Jersey, VA, to Bristol, TN. I had the windows down most of the evening, until it was too cold, and I had to roll them up.
It is a warm day with clear skies here in Bristol, TN. The skies are completely clear, though it is more humid here than it was in VA yesterday.
The visible satellite imagery and the infrared satellite imagery show no clouds and have been excluded from this post.
The water vapor imagery shows that we have more moisture in TN, as the shallow shortwave trough does not reach deep enough to dry out Tennessee. We are at the very southern end of the trough, so we might have a little more in the way of dynamics than Virginia does today.
However, the 12Z upper air sounding from Nashville, TN, shows the lower moisture. We have a surface dewpoint of 64 F, but dewpoint depressions are high above 850 mb. There is also a large capping inversion in place today.
I am not expecting many showers and thunderstorms today with the large cap and thin moisture layer. I am not going to run a longer forecast, as my battery is dying.
Thank you for reading my forecast.
The upper air soundings and mesoscale analysis plots are from the Storm Prediction Center website.
The forecasted upper air soundings are from TwisterData.com.
The surface observation and upper level charts are from Unisys Weather.
The satellite data is from NASA – MSFC